Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Rich Clementi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record45-23-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Voodoo

What's at stake

Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Rich Clementi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+6→ 1838
If they lose-18→ 1814
Rich ClementiNow 1631
If they win+18→ 1649
If they lose-6→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
48%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.56
60%
Strike defense
61%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.92
58%
Takedown accuracy
42%
77%
Takedown defense
26%
0.64
Submission avg.
1.10

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonRich Clementi
1650170017501800185020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
13 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
23 (51%)
6 (26%)
Decision
9 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson84%
Rich Clementi 16%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 84% favorite over Rich Clementi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1631, a 201-point edge.

Rich Clementi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rich Clementi 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.