Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Vitor Belfort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record26-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78''Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+8→ 1840
If they lose-16→ 1816
Vitor BelfortNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-8→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
48%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
60%
Strike defense
51%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.02
58%
Takedown accuracy
60%
77%
Takedown defense
54%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonVitor Belfort
1700175018001850201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
18 (69%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (12%)
6 (26%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson83%
Vitor Belfort 17%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 83% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1719, a 113-point edge.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.

Anthony Johnson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.