Anthony Lapsley vs Gleison Tibau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record40-20-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-12→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony LapsleyGleison Tibau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau72%
Anthony Lapsley 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 72% favorite over Anthony Lapsley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Lapsley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.
Anthony Lapsley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Lapsley finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.