Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Lapsley vs Jason High

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason High
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Jason High

“The Kansas City Bandit”

23-8-0LightweightFAC

1691Good

Tale of the tape

23-8-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Top Team HD

What's at stake

Jason High is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Lapsley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony LapsleyNow 1659
If they win+13→ 1672
If they lose-11→ 1648
Jason HighNow 1691
If they win+11→ 1702
If they lose-13→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.53
Sig. strikes / min
1.01
34%
Strike accuracy
35%
0.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
67%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
2.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
80%
20%
Takedown defense
38%
0
Submission avg.
3.26

Trajectory

Anthony LapsleyJason High
165017002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (13%)
KO/TKO
7 (30%)
16 (70%)
Submission
8 (35%)
4 (17%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jason High61%
Anthony Lapsley 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Jason High a 61% favorite over Anthony Lapsley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Jason High holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1659, a 32-point edge.

Anthony Lapsley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jason High enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anthony Lapsley finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jason High 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.