Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Macias vs Brian Stapleton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-18-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachN/A
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
USA StarsTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony MaciasNow 1466
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450
Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anthony MaciasBrian Stapleton
14501500201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (22%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
16 (70%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton60%
Anthony Macias 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 60% favorite over Anthony Macias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1466 vs 1473), separated by just 7 points.

Anthony Macias enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Macias finishes 91% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.