Anthony Macias vs Dan Severn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-18-0Record101-19-7
WelterweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight253 lbs
USA StarsTeamThe Beast Academy
What's at stake
Dan Severn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Anthony Macias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1491
If they lose-6→ 1459
If they win+5→ 1720
If they lose-19→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony MaciasDan Severn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Severn81%
Anthony Macias 19%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Severn a 81% favorite over Anthony Macias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Dan Severn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1465, a 250-point edge.
Anthony Macias enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Macias finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Dan Severn 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.