Anthony Macias vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-18-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
USA StarsTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony MaciasEbrahem Mahmoud
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
Anthony Macias 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over Anthony Macias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1466 vs 1471), separated by just 5 points.
Anthony Macias enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Macias finishes 91% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.