Anthony Morel vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony MorelYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yorgan De Castro51%
Anthony Morel 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yorgan De Castro a 51% favorite over Anthony Morel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Morel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Anthony Morel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Anthony Morel finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.