Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Njokuani vs Danny Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-0Record17-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach71,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Janjira Muay ThaiTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Danny Castillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Njokuani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony NjokuaniNow 1528
If they win+15→ 1543
If they lose-9→ 1519
Danny CastilloNow 1604
If they win+9→ 1613
If they lose-15→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
65%
Strike defense
63%
0.50
Takedown avg.
2.95
45%
Takedown accuracy
39%
53%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Anthony NjokuaniDanny Castillo
155016001650201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (18%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Danny Castillo68%
Anthony Njokuani 32%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Danny Castillo a 68% favorite over Anthony Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Danny Castillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1528, a 76-point edge.

Anthony Njokuani enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Anthony Njokuani finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Danny Castillo 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.