Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Njokuani vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-0Record24-14-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Janjira Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Edson Barboza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Anthony Njokuani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony NjokuaniNow 1528
If they win+17→ 1545
If they lose-7→ 1521
Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+7→ 1689
If they lose-17→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
65%
Strike defense
56%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.43
45%
Takedown accuracy
32%
53%
Takedown defense
73%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Anthony NjokuaniEdson Barboza
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (4%)
8 (44%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza79%
Anthony Njokuani 21%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 79% favorite over Anthony Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Edson Barboza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1528, a 154-point edge.

Anthony Njokuani enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Njokuani finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.