Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Njokuani vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Janjira Muay ThaiTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Anthony Njokuani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony NjokuaniNow 1528
If they win+18→ 1546
If they lose-6→ 1522
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1713
If they win+6→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
65%
Strike defense
60%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.95
45%
Takedown accuracy
36%
53%
Takedown defense
55%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Anthony NjokuaniRafael dos Anjos
1600170020232024

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (34%)
8 (44%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael dos Anjos79%
Anthony Njokuani 21%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 79% favorite over Anthony Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1528, a 185-point edge.

Anthony Njokuani enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Njokuani finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.