Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Njokuani vs Roger Bowling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-15-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Janjira Muay ThaiTeamTeam Vision

What's at stake

Roger Bowling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Anthony Njokuani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony NjokuaniNow 1528
If they win+14→ 1542
If they lose-10→ 1518
Roger BowlingNow 1578
If they win+14→ 1592
If they lose-18→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
46%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
65%
Strike defense
51%
0.50
Takedown avg.
3.09
45%
Takedown accuracy
44%
53%
Takedown defense
27%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Anthony NjokuaniRoger Bowling
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (17%)
8 (44%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Roger Bowling70%
Anthony Njokuani 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Roger Bowling a 70% favorite over Anthony Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Roger Bowling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1528, a 50-point edge.

Anthony Njokuani enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Anthony Njokuani finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Roger Bowling 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.