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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Perosh vs Nick Penner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Penner
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Nick Penner

“The Quiet Assassin”

11-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1621Solid

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Perosh Mixed Martial ArtsTeamFrank Lee's Muay Thai

What's at stake

Nick Penner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Anthony Perosh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony PeroshNow 1603
If they win+13→ 1616
If they lose-11→ 1592
Nick PennerNow 1621
If they win+15→ 1636
If they lose-17→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
43%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
54%
Strike defense
39%
2.03
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
40%
1.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony PeroshNick Penner
160016502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
10 (67%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Perosh61%
Nick Penner 39%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Perosh a 61% favorite over Nick Penner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Penner's way (47%).

Nick Penner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1603, a 18-point edge.

Anthony Perosh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Penner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Perosh finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Penner 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.