Anthony Perosh vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record31-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75,0"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight232 lbs
Team Perosh Mixed Martial ArtsTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Anthony Perosh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-5→ 1598
If they win+5→ 1828
If they lose-19→ 1804
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PeroshRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader83%
Anthony Perosh 17%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 83% favorite over Anthony Perosh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1603, a 220-point edge.
Anthony Perosh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Perosh finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.