Anthony Pettis vs Clay Guida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record38-25-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Anthony Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Clay Guida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1665
If they win+15→ 1614
If they lose-9→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisClay Guida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Pettis78%
Clay Guida 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Pettis a 78% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Anthony Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1599, a 81-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Clay Guida 57%.
Anthony Pettis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.