Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Pettis vs Diego Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record19-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,5"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Diego Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Pettis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+14→ 1694
If they lose-10→ 1670
Diego FerreiraNow 1726
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-14→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.82
48%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0.86
50%
Takedown accuracy
30%
60%
Takedown defense
58%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Anthony PettisDiego Ferreira
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
8 (32%)
Submission
7 (37%)
6 (24%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Ferreira68%
Anthony Pettis 32%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Ferreira a 68% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Diego Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1680, a 46-point edge.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Diego Ferreira 63%.

Diego Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.