Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Pettis vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72,5"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Edson BarbozaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0.43
50%
Takedown accuracy
32%
60%
Takedown defense
73%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Anthony PettisEdson Barboza
17001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (44%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
8 (32%)
Submission
1 (4%)
6 (24%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Anthony Pettis and Edson Barboza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Edson Barboza carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.