Anthony Pettis vs Gilbert Melendez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record22-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,5"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
Gilbert Melendez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Pettis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1694
If they lose-10→ 1670
If they win+10→ 1750
If they lose-14→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisGilbert Melendez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Melendez64%
Anthony Pettis 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Melendez a 64% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Gilbert Melendez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1680, a 60-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Melendez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Melendez 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.