Anthony Pettis vs Jeremy Stephens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Anthony Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-8→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisJeremy Stephens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Pettis70%
Jeremy Stephens 30%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Pettis a 70% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Anthony Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1554, a 126-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.
Anthony Pettis and Jeremy Stephens share 2 common opponents: Myles Price and Clay Collard.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Win Triangle Choke · 2022
WinDecision (Split) · 2022