Anthony Pettis vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,5"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Anthony Pettis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1691
If they lose-13→ 1667
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Pettis61%
Joe Lauzon 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Pettis a 61% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Anthony Pettis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1649, a 31-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Anthony Pettis and Joe Lauzon share 1 common opponent: Stevie Ray.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.