Anthony Pettis vs Michael Chiesa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72,5"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Pettis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1695
If they lose-9→ 1671
If they win+9→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisMichael Chiesa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa79%
Anthony Pettis 21%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 79% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1680, a 78-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.
Michael Chiesa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.