Anthony Pettis vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record32-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Pettis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1693
If they lose-11→ 1669
If they win+11→ 1709
If they lose-13→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony PettisRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos59%
Anthony Pettis 41%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 59% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1680, a 18-point edge.
Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Anthony Pettis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.