Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Pettis vs Ty Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Miller
us

Ty Miller

“Thriller”

8-0-0WelterweightUFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72,5"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony PettisNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Ty MillerNow 1682
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
7.16
48%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
54%
Strike defense
65%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
75%
1.06
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony PettisTy Miller
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (24%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ty Miller73%
Anthony Pettis 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 73% favorite over Anthony Pettis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.

Anthony Pettis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Anthony Pettis finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.

Ty Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.