Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Rocco Martin vs Chris Curtis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Curtis
us

Chris Curtis

“The Action Man”

32-13-0MiddleweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record32-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony Rocco MartinNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Chris CurtisNow 1720
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
6.16
37%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.43
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
83%
1.02
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony Rocco MartinChris Curtis
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
17 (53%)
10 (56%)
Submission
1 (3%)
7 (39%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Rocco Martin54%
Chris Curtis 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 54% favorite over Chris Curtis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Curtis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1720), separated by just 2 points.

Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Chris Curtis 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.