Anthony Rocco Martin vs Demian Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record28-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamDemian Maia Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Rocco Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1736
If they lose-13→ 1704
If they win+10→ 1783
If they lose-14→ 1759
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1767 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinDemian Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia55%
Anthony Rocco Martin 45%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 55% favorite over Anthony Rocco Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1717, a 56-point edge.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Demian Maia 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.