Anthony Rocco Martin vs Felipe Olivieri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach72,0"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Felipe Olivieri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1727
If they lose-22→ 1695
If they win+22→ 1614
If they lose-10→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinFelipe Olivieri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin78%
Felipe Olivieri 22%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 78% favorite over Felipe Olivieri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1592, a 125-point edge.
Felipe Olivieri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Olivieri 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.