Anthony Rocco Martin vs Felipe Olivieri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach72,0"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Felipe Olivieri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-22→ 1696
If they win+22→ 1613
If they lose-10→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinFelipe Olivieri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin83%
Felipe Olivieri 17%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 83% favorite over Felipe Olivieri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1591, a 127-point edge.
Felipe Olivieri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Olivieri 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.