Anthony Rocco Martin vs Johnny Case
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record28-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach72,5"
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Johnny Case carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1734
If they lose-19→ 1702
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-10→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinJohnny Case
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin78%
Johnny Case 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 78% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1664, a 57-point edge.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.