Anthony Rocco Martin vs Johnny Case
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record30-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach72,5"
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Johnny Case carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-20→ 1698
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-9→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinJohnny Case
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin70%
Johnny Case 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 70% favorite over Johnny Case in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1633, a 85-point edge.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.