Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Rocco Martin vs Leonardo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record18-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony Rocco MartinNow 1721
If they win+14→ 1735
If they lose-18→ 1703
Leonardo SantosNow 1678
If they win+18→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
37%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0.88
27%
Takedown accuracy
26%
69%
Takedown defense
87%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Anthony Rocco MartinLeonardo Santos
17001750202020212022

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
10 (56%)
Submission
9 (53%)
7 (39%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Rocco Martin78%
Leonardo Santos 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 78% favorite over Leonardo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1678, a 43-point edge.

Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Santos 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.