Anthony Rocco Martin vs Leonardo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record18-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1730
If they lose-19→ 1698
If they win+19→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinLeonardo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin73%
Leonardo Santos 27%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 73% favorite over Leonardo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1656, a 61-point edge.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Santos 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.