Anthony Rocco Martin vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record31-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anthony Rocco Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1739
If they lose-14→ 1707
If they win+11→ 1769
If they lose-13→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin53%
Neil Magny 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 53% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neil Magny's way (45%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1721, a 37-point edge.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Anthony Rocco Martin and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Jake Matthews.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.