Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Rocco Martin vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record25-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach70,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony Rocco MartinNow 1721
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
Rashid MagomedovNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
37%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.71
Takedown avg.
0.67
27%
Takedown accuracy
57%
69%
Takedown defense
89%
1.02
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Anthony Rocco MartinRashid Magomedov
170017502019202020212022

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
10 (56%)
Submission
1 (4%)
7 (39%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Rocco Martin60%
Rashid Magomedov 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 60% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashid Magomedov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1728), separated by just 7 points.

Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.