Anthony Rocco Martin vs Sergio Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Anthony Rocco Martin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sergio Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-19→ 1699
If they win+19→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony Rocco MartinSergio Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Rocco Martin83%
Sergio Moraes 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Rocco Martin a 83% favorite over Sergio Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Anthony Rocco Martin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1641, a 77-point edge.
Sergio Moraes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anthony Rocco Martin finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Moraes 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.