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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Romero vs Lance Gibson Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony RomeroNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Lance Gibson Jr.Now 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.87
Sig. strikes / min
2
53%
Strike accuracy
42%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
66%
Strike defense
54%
2
Takedown avg.
2
22%
Takedown accuracy
67%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony RomeroLance Gibson Jr.
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (30%)
8 (67%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Romero56%
Lance Gibson Jr. 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Romero a 56% favorite over Lance Gibson Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.

Anthony Romero finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Lance Gibson Jr. 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.