Anthony Romero vs Leonardo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Para Bellum MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony RomeroLeonardo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Romero53%
Leonardo Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Romero a 53% favorite over Leonardo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.
Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Romero finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Santos 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.