Anthony Smith vs Cezar Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record14-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight216 lbs
Factory XTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Anthony Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1659
If they win+15→ 1606
If they lose-9→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithCezar Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Smith66%
Cezar Ferreira 34%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Smith a 66% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Anthony Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1591, a 83-point edge.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Cezar Ferreira 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.