Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Smith vs Devin Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Anthony Smith
us

Anthony Smith

“Lionheart”

38-22-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1674Good
Devin Clark
us

Devin Clark

“Brown Bear”

14-9-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

38-22-0Record14-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Anthony Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Devin Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony SmithNow 1674
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
Devin ClarkNow 1609
If they win+19→ 1628
If they lose-13→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
45%
Strike defense
44%
0.44
Takedown avg.
2.17
24%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
59%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Anthony SmithDevin Clark
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

20 (53%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
15 (39%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (8%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Clark53%
Anthony Smith 47%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Clark a 53% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Smith's way (41%).

Anthony Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1609, a 65-point edge.

Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Devin Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Devin Clark 36%.

Anthony Smith and Devin Clark share 1 common opponent: Ryan Spann.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
WinSubmission · 2021
Ryan Spann
LossSubmission · 2019