Anthony Smith vs Elvis Mutapcic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record16-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach42,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamRoundKick Gym
What's at stake
Anthony Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Elvis Mutapcic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
If they win+19→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithElvis Mutapcic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Smith79%
Elvis Mutapcic 21%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Smith a 79% favorite over Elvis Mutapcic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Anthony Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1614, a 60-point edge.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Elvis Mutapcic 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.