Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anthony Smith
us

Anthony Smith

“Lionheart”

38-22-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

38-22-0Record33-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Glover Teixeira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Anthony Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony SmithNow 1674
If they win+17→ 1691
If they lose-7→ 1667
Glover TeixeiraNow 1811
If they win+7→ 1818
If they lose-17→ 1794

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
49%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
45%
Strike defense
51%
0.44
Takedown avg.
2.11
24%
Takedown accuracy
34%
50%
Takedown defense
60%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Anthony SmithGlover Teixeira
170017501800185020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

20 (53%)
KO/TKO
18 (55%)
15 (39%)
Submission
10 (30%)
3 (8%)
Decision
5 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Glover Teixeira75%
Anthony Smith 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Glover Teixeira a 75% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Glover Teixeira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1811 to 1674, a 137-point edge.

Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Glover Teixeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Glover Teixeira 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.