Anthony Smith vs Paul Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record11-1-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Factory XTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithPaul Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Smith66%
Paul Jones 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Smith a 66% favorite over Paul Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Jones's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1679), separated by just 5 points.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Paul Jones 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.