Anthony Valenzuela vs Hudson Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-7-0Record7-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam New Corpore
What's at stake
Hudson Melo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Anthony Valenzuela carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1410
If they lose-15→ 1378
If they win+15→ 1425
If they lose-17→ 1393
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony ValenzuelaHudson Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hudson Melo64%
Anthony Valenzuela 36%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Hudson Melo a 64% favorite over Anthony Valenzuela in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Hudson Melo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1410 to 1393, a 17-point edge.
Anthony Valenzuela enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Hudson Melo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Valenzuela finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Hudson Melo 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.