Anthony Valenzuela vs Matt Horning
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-7-0Record20-25-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight137 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Criis
What's at stake
Anthony Valenzuela is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matt Horning carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1407
If they lose-18→ 1375
If they win+14→ 1360
If they lose-10→ 1336
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony ValenzuelaMatt Horning
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Valenzuela63%
Matt Horning 37%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Valenzuela a 63% favorite over Matt Horning in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Anthony Valenzuela holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1393 to 1346, a 47-point edge.
Anthony Valenzuela enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matt Horning enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Anthony Valenzuela finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Horning 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.