Antoine Chaput vs Michael Dufort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team 360 MMATeamH2O MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Michael Dufort is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Antoine Chaput carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1660
If they lose-19→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-19→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antoine ChaputMichael Dufort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dufort70%
Antoine Chaput 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 70% favorite over Antoine Chaput in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Michael Dufort holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1631, a 68-point edge.
Antoine Chaput enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Michael Dufort enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dufort 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.