AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoine Chaput vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team 360 MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoine ChaputNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Michael JohnsonNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.58
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
81%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Antoine ChaputMichael Johnson
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
3 (43%)
Submission
2 (8%)
2 (29%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson62%
Antoine Chaput 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 62% favorite over Antoine Chaput in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antoine Chaput's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.