Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoine Chaput vs Pat Healy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Healy
us

Pat Healy

“Bam Bam”

34-24-0LightweightACB

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record34-24-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoine ChaputNow 1631
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
Pat HealyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
37%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Antoine ChaputPat Healy
150015501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (21%)
3 (43%)
Submission
15 (44%)
2 (29%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoine Chaput70%
Pat Healy 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoine Chaput a 70% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Antoine Chaput enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.