Antoine Chaput vs Victor Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-Reach80.7"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antoine ChaputVictor Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antoine Chaput51%
Victor Santos 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antoine Chaput a 51% favorite over Victor Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.
Victor Santos enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Antoine Chaput finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Victor Santos 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.