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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anton Berzin vs Caio Bittencourt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Rocco Mixed Martial ArtsTeamRoxo Strike Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anton BerzinNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Caio BittencourtNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
1
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anton BerzinCaio Bittencourt
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
4 (80%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Bittencourt64%
Anton Berzin 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 64% favorite over Anton Berzin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1586), separated by just 2 points.

Anton Berzin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Caio Bittencourt 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.