Anton Kuivanen vs Justin Salas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-13-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Primus Fight TeamTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
Justin Salas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Anton Kuivanen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1591
If they lose-11→ 1567
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-17→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anton KuivanenJustin Salas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Salas56%
Anton Kuivanen 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Salas a 56% favorite over Anton Kuivanen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Justin Salas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1578, a 15-point edge.
Anton Kuivanen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Salas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anton Kuivanen finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Justin Salas 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.