Combat Edge Intelligence

Anton Kuivanen vs Mitch Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Clarke
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Mitch Clarke

“Danger Zone”

11-5-0LightweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Primus Fight TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Mitch Clarke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Anton Kuivanen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anton KuivanenNow 1578
If they win+13→ 1591
If they lose-11→ 1567
Mitch ClarkeNow 1599
If they win+15→ 1614
If they lose-17→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
67%
Strike defense
48%
1.20
Takedown avg.
0.64
100%
Takedown accuracy
15%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Anton KuivanenMitch Clarke
16001650201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
8 (31%)
Submission
7 (64%)
11 (42%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mitch Clarke70%
Anton Kuivanen 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Clarke a 70% favorite over Anton Kuivanen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Mitch Clarke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1578, a 21-point edge.

Anton Kuivanen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anton Kuivanen finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Clarke 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.