Anton Turkalj vs Rafael Xavier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GBG MMATeamSayyato Performance Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anton TurkaljRafael Xavier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Xavier60%
Anton Turkalj 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Xavier a 60% favorite over Anton Turkalj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Anton Turkalj enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anton Turkalj finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Xavier 87%.
Anton Turkalj and Rafael Xavier share 1 common opponent: Tyson Pedro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.