Anton Vinnikov vs Arash Sadeghi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-5-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
-Reach-
256 lbsWeight256 lbs
What's at stake
Anton Vinnikov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Arash Sadeghi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1689
If they win+32→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anton VinnikovArash Sadeghi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anton Vinnikov68%
Arash Sadeghi 32%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Anton Vinnikov a 68% favorite over Arash Sadeghi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Anton Vinnikov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1592, a 113-point edge.
Anton Vinnikov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Arash Sadeghi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Anton Vinnikov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Arash Sadeghi 100%.
Anton Vinnikov and Arash Sadeghi share 1 common opponent: Ruslan Medzhidov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025