Anton Vinnikov vs Jovan Leka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-5-1Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
-Reach75"
256 lbsWeight259 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anton VinnikovJovan Leka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anton Vinnikov52%
Jovan Leka 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anton Vinnikov a 52% favorite over Jovan Leka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.
Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Anton Vinnikov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.